The EUR/USD pair is trying to settle below the top of 1.2273.The trend of EUR/USD pair movement was controversial as it took place in a narrow sideways channel, the market showed signs of instability.
Amid the previous events, the price is still moving between the levels of 1.2273 and 1.2166. If the EUR/USD pair declines below the level of 1.2273, it will gain downside momentum and head towards the next support at the yearly lows at 1.2191 which will be bearish for EUR/USD.
The nearest resistance level for the EUR/USD pair is located at the recent highs at 1.2273, although the EUR/USD pair may also face some resistance at the high of the previous trading day at 1.2273.
This week, the market moved from its bottom at 1.2191 and continued to rise towards the top of 1.2273. Today, in the one-hour chart, the current drop will remain within a framework of correction.
This would suggest a bearish market because the RSI indicator is still in a negative area and does not show any trend-reversal signs. The pair is expected to drop lower towards at least 1.2191 with a view to test the daily pivot point.
However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.2191, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.2273 (the level of 1.2273 coincides with the double top too).
Sell deals are recommended below the level of 1.2273 with the first target at 1.2166. If the trend breaks the support level of 1.2166, the pair is likely to move downwards continuing the development of a bearish trend to the level 1.2110 in order to test the daily support 2 (horizontal green line).
On the support side, the nearest support level for the EUR/USD pair is located at 1.2110. If the EUR/USD pair declines below this level, it will head towards the next support at 1.2056. A move below this support level will open the way to the test of the support at the 50 EMA at 1.2056.
The price spot of 1.2273 remains a significant resistance zone. Thus, the trend is still bearish as long as the level of 1.2273 is not breached.
At the same time, if a breakout happens at the resistance levels of 1.2273, then this scenario may be invalidated. But in overall, we still prefer the bearish scenario.